Poker – Against A Bad Flop
Let's say that you're in late position and you got a garbage flop and you're sure that you have the best hand, even though it's not that high on the scale of poker hands. You're sure that a bet for value will win you the pot, but if you're called, you don't figure to have the best hand. It turns out that your bet was a bluff but you didn't know it at the time.
If you're going to continue with the bluff, it should be only if you're certain that the turn card did not give the caller a potential draw to call with. In other words, he could have flopped nothing, but picked up a straight or flush draw on the turn. This is a common situation in Hold'em.
Most players who have called a bet and have two cards in their hand and four on the board will have at least a straight or a flush draw if they don't already have a pair. If, in your opinion, it's likely that the turn card made a draw for someone, you may not want to continue the bluff, especially if you're against more than one player. A good example would be if the flop had two high cards and the turn was another high card that also made two to a suit. Be careful if you intend to bluff.
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Poker – When An Opponent Is Not Bluffing
And he is certain you will call because of the pot odds or your position, he is usually not bluffing. These instances occur when the pot is huge, there are many players, or the bettor knows that it takes only one card to beat him. This is one time when you have to consider the action from the bettor's point of view. If he's first to bet into a $150 pot with five players, then he probably expects to be called and, he therefore, is not bluffing. On the other hand, if there's $20 in the pot and you are his only opposition, and you check and he bets, there is a greater than average chance that he's bluffing.
8. In Semi-Bluff Situations
Bluffing when you're certain you don't have the best hand and before all the cards are out is called semi-bluffing. There is a correct way to semi-bluff and there is an incorrect way to semi-bluff.
In Hold'em the most common situation to semi-bluff is when you have AX and you pair your X card. Usually you will have something like A* 8* and the flop is Q* 8* 5*. You probably don't have the best hand but you can improve to the best hand. Another Ace or 8 will give you a winner, in your opinion.
Your 20.4% chance of improving by the river, plus the fact that you can win by betting and not being called, all makes a bet with second or third pair and an Ace kicker a very good proposition. You have so many ways to win the hand: you actually have the best hand, you can improve to a better hand, or you can bet and not be called.
Of course, there's a time when you should not attempt a semi-bluff. It's when there is a pre-flop raise and you flopped nothing or just a small pair. The pre-flop raise told you two things:
A. There's probably one or two Aces out, even though you hold one.
B. You're a heavy underdog (herein after called "dog") because you're facing a premium hand.
You have to make a good draw on the flop and then hit it to win the hand. If another player holds one of your Aces, your chances of hitting another Ace are not reduced to 1 in 50, but rather 1 in 2. True, there are 50 other cards that you don't hold, but there are only three other Aces, and it looks like one of them is out. You also face the unpleasant event of hitting an Ace on the flop only to find out that someone has A* Av in the pocket.
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